philostam's latest activity

So? Do you think that high profile academics make the most accurate predictions? I read a book a while back (think it was Geopolitical...

Remembering this quote: "Subjective confidence in a judgement is not a reasoned evaluation of the probability that this judgement is...

About facts of the past, yes. I'm from Europe as well, and some of our decisions are just baffling. Seems like our EU leaders are stuck...

If Trump says "OK, we have achieved our goals, we are out" but Iran continues blockading the strait of Hormuz, I am almost sure that...

https://www.defensebudget.org/en/country/united-states Words can lie, numbers don't. The same thing happened to Germany when Europe...

I appreciate the reference to Goldman Sachs, but you have just confirmed my point regarding the distinction between Readiness and...