OKC Thunder - "Changing Basketball" like Moneyball

The Proof is in the Pudding

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When I said that the Thunder would change basketball if they won in a small market with home grown players I meant it, but there has to be some proof if we are to confirm that the, “change,” is in fact true in its statement.

Every team now knows that a championship is possible with a salary cap (24th in the league) that is 25% lower than the top team. Owners can no longer look at their cost structures and justify paying $50M + for salaries and a luxury tax to the team that is winning the championship. If they did then they would be a joke among their fat, wealthy friends. The cost plus the peer pressure will force change and we’re already starting to see it.

There are teams that don’t have the structure to compete in this new paradigm where development is core, and as such teams are selling to groups that are willing to adjust to the new model.

The Boston Celtics (3rd highest salary), Minnesota Timberwolves (2nd highest salary), and Los Angeles Lakers (5th highest salary), have sold their teams to new management.

Dallas traded their franchise player in the middle of the season (historic and has never been done) rather than keeping him and extending a max contract.

The Phoenix Suns, who have the highest salary are gutting the team and have already traded Kevin Durant to Houston. Rumor has it that Devon Booker is headed to Denver.

Giannis (a former MVP and won the championship in Milwaukee ) is in trade discussions for leaving. The Bucks are the sixth highest salary in the league.

Jrue Holiday, the third highest paid on the Celtics, and gold medalist in the last Olympics, is now going to the Portland Trail Blazers.

These moves are happening fast and the finals just completed.

The Thunder also have some finances to discuss because they will have to shore up some existing contracts BUT most of the team is on contract for return. In a league where every team has one first round draft pick, the Thunder have two for each of the next five years. Their first round pick from last year has been rehabbing an injury and will be ready to begin contributing next season. Their development is continuing, so as salaries get high [because success drives salaries upward] the Thunder will be able to trade solid players and still have exceptional talent to step into each of those roles. With every big trade will come more draft picks and / or talent at a lower cost. This all creates an engine that drives the development which generates continued success. And this will all continue being spearheaded by a general manager that created this new model. There’s a reason that commentators keep suggesting OKC could be a dynasty team (though OKC doesn’t like that label or target), it’s because they are structured to be relevant for many years into the future.

The Thunder winning this championship has changed the entire landscape of professional basketball and those that don’t change will lose on the court and on the balance sheet.
 
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Coming Full Circle

This thread was dedicated to comparing the Oakland A’s epic rebuild in Major League Baseball to the OKC Thunders rebuild in the National Basketball Association. The A’s fell short because they didn’t win the championship but they proved a point where things could be different if a team choose to focus on what is valued the most. The following video is near the end of the Moneyball film but it draws out the exact thing I’ve been thinking and saying. It’s also what we are already starting to see transform all around the NBA.

 
Alex Caruso was the Difference

“He’s the guy every team want during playoffs, not because he’s flashy or puts up big stats but because his unselfish play make him valuable.” His work ethic made him loved by the greatest players and the fans love him because it is visible when hard work correlates with success. You naturally have to love that kind of person.

Here’s a video that spells out his career thus far and after viewing it, you will see why people love him and why elite guards and opposing team fans love to hate him.


Personally, I love his style because he continues to be himself. He hasn’t changed who he is to be what people want him to be, but instead people changed and started to love his style because it was unique and original.

I haven’t checked his plus/minus for the playoffs this year but I wouldn’t be surprised if it was near the top.
 
Stephen A. And First Take Reiterates
[what I’ve been saying]

They gave excellent perspective on the Thunder but still fell back on the buying mentality. That Stephen (a NY first media) was propping OKC, Houston, and Dallas made me smile. Take a look and decide for yourself:


 
2024-25 OKC Thunder Bonuses

I had never really thought about what players would receive [for performance] outside of their contracts. Now, this isn't a large amount of money for the top players on the team; however, the OKC Thunder is the youngest team in the league and young players usually have low salaries compared to veterans. This resulted in some players increasing their salaries between 25 and 65%. When a player sees a teammates making almost 20 times the amount they make that can be difficult (granted all of the young guys went through it when they started), and this little extra has to feel good when compared with other teams.

NBA Cup (In-Season Tournament) Reward
Runner Up - $206,000 / player

Regular Season Team Reward
Best Record NBA - $869,000
Best Record in Conference - $761,000
Regular Season Subtotal: $1,630,000

Playoff Pool Team Reward

1st round - $466,000
Conference Semifinals - $568,000
Conference Finals - $951,000
Finals - $3.8M
Champion - $8.8M
Playoff Pool Subtotal: $14.585M

Team Total: $19.3M
Player Total: $1.3M ea.


Of course, there will also be the championship ring, trophies, and potential promotions.

Spread the Love bonus: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, after being named the 2024-25 NBA MVP, gifted his Oklahoma City Thunder teammates with lavish gift baskets. The baskets, valued at over $10,000 each, included items like Rolex watches, iPhones, Beats by Dre headphones, and custom Canada Goose jackets. The jackets were embroidered with the team's 68-14 record, celebrating their successful regular season.

 
OKC Thunder New Arena
(Coming in 2029)

Looks beautiful.

They decided to use one of my favorite songs on the first visual rendering. ❤️

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Wins 2025 ESPY
Best Athlete for Men’s Sports



This guy just keeps paying dividends. Not bad for someone who was discarded by a team to get a veteran player from Indiana (Paul George) that OKC had rebuilt after an injury. In return the Thunder got SGA and FIVE first round draft pics - and still haven’t used all of those pics.

Shai, is a special type of person. OKC simply put him in a position to be his best and then he did the rest.

To sum up the 2025 ESPY award winner:
- NBA MVP
- NBA Finals Winner and MVP
- Western Conference MVP
- Scoring leader for the season
- Northwest Division Winner
- Western Conference best record
- Best record ever over an opposing conference (Eastern) at 29-1.
- Top 5 season record ever (68-14)
- Greatest point differential in league history.
 
Thunder Moneyball Continues

The BIG 3 members of the Thunder (SGA, J-Dub, and Chet) have entered into $800M in contracts. Of course these are multiple year extensions but the amount is still close to the amount of the new arena being built in OKC [$900M].

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Yet, the team is still in an excellent position as it relates to the salary cap, luxury tax and aprons. During the 2025-26 the Thunder were expected to remain below the luxury tax with a rostered salary that is ranked near the middle of the league; however they have slightly exceeded it.

Even when the Thunder didn’t trade up for high dollar players, their success [through drafting and player development] has started to increase salaries. This seems unfortunate and unfair because it is literally penalizing teams for working hard and smart rather than spending frivolously as a means to advance.

Here is the current team salaries listed in order of highest to lowest. The Thunder have just slightly peaked over the luxury tax limit of $187.9M.

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Other teams that seem to have made impressive moves in the offseason are: Denver, Atlanta, Orlando, and San Antonio.

Though I haven’t been impressed by the spending of Cleveland, Dallas, Minnesota, and Houston, they do appear to be well positioned for the upcoming season. The pressure will be on these teams to be contenders and all are very capable. Dallas has some injuries but have the talent to overcome this and be well positioned in the second half of next season.

Philadelphia has spent big but they have all of the pieces needed to be successful if they can remain healthy - this team has older players that have proven successful over time but if they aren’t ahead of the curve by the midseason break, I would expect them to start dumping players to reduce cost.
 
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