Trump will win again

[aeon]

I've heard both terms spoken by both men and women in open society and pop culture as a form of support for people from friends and even family.

Yes, it is a reclaimed slur, much like queer, and slut, so care in its use including audience consideration is well recommended.

Cheers,
Ian

 

[TomasM]

It's not about her, it's about shitting in your own house

It was actually meant in a positive way when I said it. If I was going to D.C. and someone said I better put on my big boy panties then I'd be in agreement. Of course those panties would be iron clad because that place is a zoo. Ya know.

Still, were you offended? Did it upset you? You seemed upset in your comments just after the post. I want to make sure you feel comfortable and safe.

Yes, it is a reclaimed slur

Like I said, I've never thought of it as a bad expression and I've never heard it used as a slur. Might you have a reference to its past use in this regard? If not then I can always do a bit of research.

 

[Wyote]

Still, were you offended? Did it upset you? You seemed upset in your comments just after the post. I want to make sure you feel comfortable and safe.

No, we're cool no worries.
I was trying to illustrate many things simultaneously, and @aeon elaborated a fair amount on it very well.
Since you're claiming ignorance on all accounts, I can only assume you'll move forward enlightened.

 

[Wyote]

Just to be clear, I'm not trying to be the tone police or anything either.
I've witnessed and partaken in both ends of the spectrum.
It matters little which way you swing, what's imperative is the comprehension/clarity of intent.

 

[slant]

I guess I've been red-pilled and slowly converted to the right but I am strangely not particularly bothered by the election results. And I could tell you I think I would feel the same way if Harris won but I do feel some type of relief that Trump won despite not liking a lot things about him and also that Harris winning wouldn't actually negatively impact the country.

I am in a weird place where because I supported Bernie in 2016 because he was a populist when the left turned on him I slowly was pulled more and more right and got swallowed up in this alt-right stuff. I'm not 100% on board with all of it, I think there is this common ground zone from where a Bernie Support and a Trump supporter would find things in common. The anti-establishment aspect of Trump is very appealing. But at the same time I am equally willing to support an establishment democrat. I don't think I would be able to back an establishment republican like DeSantis. There is something exciting about Trump that makes you think things could be different in strangely the same way Obama made me feel. But Obama was 1000x a better thinker and honestly the people out there who hate Obama's policies have to at least admit he was smooth as hell of a talker, there has been no politician since as smooth as him.

I don't believe the fear mongering of abortion is going to be national banned and things like that. At least, not unless Trump dies in office. JD Vance will for sure push for that and that was probably the plan all along-- to ride off of Trump's success and either Trump dies in office and he then becomes President or next term since Trump cant run again they run JD Vance as an extension of him, which sucks, because I don't like him. I think he is more conservative socially than Trump, closer to an establishment republican than Trump is.

Trump did such a good job at lobbying alt-right podcasts and even some libertarian slightly left leaning (but not progressive left) spheres to rally people up. I saw Ben Shapiro make a commentary of the wisdom of Trump pulling people like Musk and Rogan into the fold and being willing to give a little on some of the social issues and not go as far right as other republicans would want him too. It is very wise, and my hope would be that the strength of the public opinion eventually forces the right to be more moderate on those social issues. The chances of them getting popular opinion to swing back in their favor on those type of things are low and as we are seeing for their own survival they are going to need to dance around them.

I am super interested to see what actually happens with the tariffs.

 

[aeon]

So the angry #allmenaretrash femme folks on ye ol’ Reddit are vitriolic about those trash men voting for Trump, but when I pointed out that statistically, half of voting men voted for Harris, and also, half of voting women voted for Trump, they lost their minds and wanted to savage me.

One of them pointed out my gender status, such that I was exempt, but that only caused the flames to rise.

I didn’t vote for Trump, but maybe by virtue of plumbing, I am trash.

But I’m the best trash.

Lulz,
Ian

 

[aeon]

I am super interested to see what actually happens with the tariffs.

Some companies have already raised prices in advance, and let’s just say there are quite a few shocked Pikachu faces.

Cheers,
Ian

 

[Wyote]

Can't wait for America to be great again, again.
Those evangelical Christian prayers have surely been answered.

 

[aeon]

Can't wait for America to be great again, again.
Those evangelical Christian prayers have surely been answered.

So America will rise three days after inauguration?

Lulz,
Ian

 

[TomasM]

The blue wall fall. For the second time in 3 presidential elections voters went against the expected norm. In 2024 this is primarily blamed on Democrats abandoning the working class and those with less education. The percentage change in voters was relatively small but the number of electoral votes was large. I’m sure there will be significant thought and analysis in the coming years to fully understand this sociological phenomenon.

 

[slant]

Some companies have already raised prices in advance, and let’s just say there are quite a few shocked Pikachu faces.

Cheers,
Ian

Might take a couple of years to see full effect. I expect by two years in for the answer to be evident.

 

[ThomasJ79]

 

[aeon]

Might take a couple of years to see full effect. I expect by two years in for the answer to be evident.

Full effect, yes, who knows how deep this will go. Given global supply chains, I expect quite deep. How long that will take? Way beyond my understanding.

That said, the answer of the effect is already arriving, even though Trump is not yet president.

The bond sell-off began before the last remaining states were called.

Just watching what those with wealth do serves as a good barometer of what is to come.

Cheers,
Ian

 

[TomasM]

The bond sell-off began before the last remaining states were called.

Couldn’t the bond sells be related to the Fed’s two day meeting that ended today. The market was expecting a 25 basis point cut and that’s exactly what the Fed did today.

 

[aeon]

Couldn’t the bond sells be related to the Fed’s two day meeting that ended today. The market was expecting a 25 basis point cut and that’s exactly what the Fed did today.

Not as reported by the sellers themselves.

They expect a massive increase in the deficit like last time, so they are getting out while the getting out is good.

There is an entirely separate bump on the graph related to today’s news however.

Cheers,
Ian

 

[TomasM]

They expect a massive increase in the deficit like last time, so they are getting out while the getting out is good.

Trump had high deficit spending only one of his four years in office and that was the year Covid hit (2020).

Biden’s deficit has been higher every year with the exception of 2020.

Still the trend line shows that spending will continue unless there is a change.

 

[aeon]

Trump had high deficit spending only one of his four years in office and that was the year Covid hit (2020).

Biden’s deficit has been higher every year with the exception of 2020.

Still the trend line shows that spending will continue unless there is a change.

View attachment 96078

So clearly there are factors beyond my understanding regarding the reporting the other night by the Associated Press, Fox News, NPR, and The Financial Times.

Please allow me this moment to give a shout-out for the Financial Times. What a class act.

So there must be other considerations which dovetail that gave said sellers pause regarding Trump, but not Biden.

Of course it would be multi-factor analysis.

Cheers,
Ian

 

[TomasM]

Of course it would be multi-factor analysis.

All I’m saying is that I don’t think bond sells can be attributed to the election of Trump.

Sure, we know what Trump has said about deportations and building the wall but what a president says during an election and then actually does in office are not always the same. Ultimately, Congress has to write the bills to authorize that spending and as of today we still didn’t know which party controls Congress. Even if the Republicans are in control of the House and Senate that doesn’t necessarily mean Trump will get exactly what he wants because every representative has a responsibility to their state. Over the last 20 years the Republicans have been more conservative with spending as compared to the Democrats and without a crystal ball I don’t think anyone can predict a radical change outside of that trend.

Personally, I think we’ve already reached a tipping point with respect to governmental debt and income and as such the “Great Reset” appears to be unavoidable. To me it seems more about managing the transition. But then again, if I could only figure out where I put my crystal ball.

 

[TomasM]

Usually, when bond rates drop that’s a sign of money being more available and that tends to mean that people will start shifting [some] from bonds to other capital investments. Since the Fed did what everyone believed they would do (a 25 basis point drop) after the election, it leads me to believe that they aren’t altering their course of action based on the election. A continued drop in interest rates historically indicates a confidence in the markets ability to operate. So, what is driving the confidence when the debt pressure is this high? That’s the question we should be asking.

 

[aeon]

All I’m saying is that I don’t think bond sells can be attributed to the election of Trump.

Okay, you can disbelieve what the sellers said their reason was on election night, and chalk it up to fake news.

Cheers,
Ian