Roses In The Vineyard
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Just sitting back and watching the show this time around so to speak, going to be a wild few months regardless of who wins more so if there ends up being a recount.
Trump will win again
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Outcome 1: It's hugely in favor of Harris and Drumpf claims deep state manipulation, voter fraud etc.
Outcome 2: It's a more narrow margin with Drumpf possibly eking out enough electoral votes after some funny business
Outcome 3: The impossible tie and we get the Drumpf-Walz dream team, Drumpf dies or gets the boot in about a year
And guess what, still no Civil War 2 or WW3
Outcome 2: It's a more narrow margin with Drumpf possibly eking out enough electoral votes after some funny business
Outcome 3: The impossible tie and we get the Drumpf-Walz dream team, Drumpf dies or gets the boot in about a year
And guess what, still no Civil War 2 or WW3
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SlowUpTake
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It is a shame we do not get to hear what the 35 year national security expert objected to at the just before the video begins.These videos are really instructive.
The tolerant liberal left gets unhinged if you dare to hold a different opinion than the one they want you to hold. Someone called it Kamala's 4th reich in the comments.
philostam
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Trump and Elon will not shut up if they lose, that's for sure.
As for the Democrats, I have no idea how they would react if they lose. I have faith they'll concede. At least Biden himself.
I still believe that polls are a psyop and they yet again underestimate Trump, despite saying they made adjustment to the methodology. I trust betting markets more, Trump currently has 62% chance of winning.
TomasM
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I love that you look at the betting markets. I'm not a gambler, but analytics are part of my formal education AND those models are incredibly accurate. There's too much money circulating around wagering for them to be incorrect.
I'm not as worried about the candidate responses since I know both sides will keep hating one another regardless of the outcome. I'm more worried about big money creating chaos like we saw with burning cities, looting, theft, and violence in the past. I've known it for quite some time but now Musk has started calling out Soros for his manipulation of all aspect of a countries governmental structures - the U.S. is not his first rodeo. In fact, I heard that he just purchased 200 radio stations across the country and the FCC fast tracked the purchase - that is dangerous given his history.
Everyone be safe and smart today. Exercise your right to vote and treat yourself to something nice today - you never know how tomorrow is going to develop.
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The fix is in
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They are openly admitting it now which is kinda funny
Not in a direct way, but if you pay attention to wording it can't be interpreted any other way
Just flat out, pollsters inject bias and manipulate numbers, it's just what they do and have always done
But I mean if you know anything about how data and the system functions you'd already know this
It's just funny to hear newscasters openly discussing it
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TomasM
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I've had several statistics classes and one of the mottos I've heard thrown around for years is, "There's lies... damn lies... and then there's statistics."
Still, AI and machine learning is built on statistical models, so we better hope that AI doesn't pick up on how bias is an acceptable trait.. Oh wait, it already has.
TomasM
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Reminds me of that movie Stripes with Bill Murray.
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Look, this is coming from someone who generally views Elon Music favorably.
Not sure if this clip captures the whole aspect from the podcast if you listen to it (which you should), but basically Elon flat out stated that if Trump doesn't win this will be the end of democracy, the last real election.
His justification for this was that Democrats are trying to get illegal immigrants to flood swing states and allow them to vote. Who is to say illegal immigrants would all vote blue? Seems like a major flaw in this argument, but nonetheless, guess what Rogan does in response to this?
He said, paraphrasing but, "Yeah, I think you may be right about that. Yup."
This is not how I would expect him to react as somebody who has been listening to him consistently for years. Typically in these situations he will say something like ,
"Oh yeah? What makes you say that?" and then maybe a challenging statement like, "But do you think it's maybe, that like maybe some of the people who say, oh, well that's a conspiracy, they're what? Just wrong?"
He did at a certain point make a remark about the conspiracy later on but he was very gentle and agreeable beyond what is typical for him. I remember listening to Rogan around the Bernie Era and he was totally different. A crazy world to go from endorsing Bernie Sanders and then Donald Trump but they are both populists and anti-establishment and that's the key factor.
I want to reassure everyone, the country will be fine whether Harris or Trump wins. There will be another election in 4 years. This fear mongering on both sides has got to stop. EVERY fucking four years we are told that it's the most important election of our lives and it never is.
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are you talking about polymarket?